Tag Archive for 'boomer'

Die Boomer Die!

WE’RE ALL GONNA DIE! But a stock picker says this is a good thing. I’ll leave all the punny stuff for the more lame bloggers (but commenters can have at it.) Investing in funeral homes is a wise and prudent thing to do, says one investment anal-cyst.

 

 

I didn’t know there were chain funeral homes. I knew that many funeral homes had multiple locations, but thought they all had a grey haired woman sitting in a back room someplace running things. Ha! Service Corporation Inc. has a friggin’ “brand.” 

Seems there are 38 locations within 100 miles of my old bones right where I sit. They have 20,000 people all over the place just waiting to plant the huge baby boomer generation. 

And those baby boomers dying as fast as they can, means the hedge funders are loving the potential upside for being in the downside. (damn! hard not to write punny, sorry.)

“There is a demographic benefit as the Baby Boom ages and the death rate rises,” said Dana Walker, a portfolio manager at Kalmar Investments Inc., which oversees $3 billion in Greenville, Delaware. “The flow-through, in a top-line and a bottom-line sense, ought to be very generous.”

Yeah, flow through, that’s us boomers. We’re just flowing through!

If you look at the number of deaths that occurred within the U.S. over the last few years, it’s been relatively flat, Ryan, 43, said. When you get out into the Baby Boomer years, you’d begin to expect that volume would increase to the tune of 2 percent a year.

Now that’s interesting, the number of deaths in the U.S. has been “relatively flat.” I don’t think about death much (never) but it sure seems that there would be a change in the death rate - up or down. Either we are getting healthier and living longer, or vice versa. But it just doesn’t compute that the death rate would be flat.

We’re invested in the boomer economy: jails (CXW), replacement knees (ZMH), blood tests (DGX), pet fixers (WOOF), cancer sticks (MO), cancer drugs (NVS), Velveeta (KFT), fake hearts (CTE) and anti-chaffing powder (JNJ).

So we’re kinda betting against dying. 

But maybe we should consider that our future lies in death.

The company yesterday offered to buy its largest competitor, Stewart Enterprises Inc., for $11 a share in cash, or about $1.04 billion, based on 94.6 million shares outstanding as of April 30. Stewart rejected a bid of $9.50 a share earlier this month. Together, the companies would control about 20 percent of the market, Ransom estimated.

Cornering the market on the death business isn’t a bad strategy. Both SCI and Stewart are beaten down.

SCI peaked in the mid-$50s in summer 1996 when its stock split 2-for-1. Stewart stock reached the mid-$50s in spring 1998, when it also split 2-for-1. Those party-poopers, the SEC, said both companies would have to restate earnings based on the fact they counted “pre-need” revenue before the need was needed. SCI sells for about nine bucks a share now. 

Dumbass stock market. If the companies were worth $50 a share a dozen years ago, why are they now just worth $9? Stock Anal-cysts that’s why.

Bah, Die Boomer Die, doesn’t seem to be a strategy we should pursue. Even the blog is dead.
I’m going to live forever…

 

 

Harley Riders: Will You Just Shut Up!

The city where I live has an ordinance against modifying motorcycle exhaust systems from manufacturer’s original. I’m not positive, but I think this is one of those “look the other way” ordinances. Like spitting on the sidewalk, or that buildings must have posted a “no spitting” sign.

Have you ever heard a quiet Harley? I love the pahrump-pahrump-pahrump of a Harley. What I don’t like is the conversation drowning roar they put out when the owner shows off.

Do they teach you in Harley school to make as much noise as possible in the city limits?

I watched the Teddy Bear run one year (a fund raisers sponsored by Harley owners) and in the block in front of city hall, Every. Single. Harley. gunned it the whole block. As the noise echoed off the Federal building and Courthouse, the police and sheriff officers just smiled.

Here’s a case where Boomers could take a note from Millennials. Even though millennials wouldn’t be caught dead on an American made motorcycle - the Japanese manufacturer’s have learned how to muffle noise without sacrificing performance.

I can say without equivocation: every Harley rider is guilty of making obnoxious sounds every time they ride. Get them in a group and each one has to top the other. Peer pressure run amok.

But since they are Boomer law-breakers, the cops just look the other way.

BTW: these are the same people that just HATE the boom-boom-boom bass blasters coming from car stereos.

You Have a Choice: Eloi or Morlock?

Trying to anticipate how Violent Acres thinks is like trying to figure out if a kid is going to eat a booger.

But sometimes you let your mind wander into such open spaces.

An evolutionary theorist (people get paid for this) has forecasted that homo sapiens has just about reached our physical and mental peak.

In another thousand years, it will be all down hill. FYI: I got an early start.

The human race will one day split into two separate species, an attractive, intelligent ruling elite and an underclass of dim-witted, ugly goblin-like creatures, according to a top scientist.

So this geek predicts that in about 100,000 years, give or take a century or ten, we will have two distinct breeds of humans.

I would wager my one share of Apple, that Violent Acres would say this has already happened and the underclass is at a state university or works behind the counter at her pharmacy.

The deep thinker says that plastic surgery clinics will be the Starbucks of the future, but the only thing served is half coffee and half cream. Homo Sapiens will be more homogenized.

“Men will have symmetrical facial features, deeper voices and bigger penises…

Women will all have glossy hair, smooth hairless skin, large eyes and pert breasts…

Racial differences will be a thing of the past as interbreeding produces a single coffee-coloured skin tone.”

In other words, everybody moves to Venice Beach.

Pretty cool, huh? Not so fast there Kemo Thereapy.

The professor’s crystal balls tell him after we peak it’s going to get ugly. Since technology is doing everything, we will regress physically.

“While science and technology have the potential to create an ideal habitat for humanity over the next millennium, there is the possibility of a monumental genetic hangover over the subsequent millennia due to an over-reliance on technology reducing our natural capacity to resist disease, or our evolved ability to get along with each other.”

I have no idea what that means, but I added it just so you would believe that this guy could double-speak just like an economist.

“After that, things could get ugly, with the possible emergence of genetic ‘haves’ and ‘have-nots’.”

Awright: Eloi and Morlocks!

eloimorlock.jpg

Damn glad I don’t have to make that decision: to remain a beautiful glossy haired blond with pert breasts or the other one.






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